Cape Coral Economic Development Strategic Plan

Task 3 Report

Cluster, Location Quotient, Target Industry and Operational Analysis



3.a Cape Coral Preliminary Target Industry Evaluation

Preliminary Target Industries Analysis
  • The goal of the LQ analyses is to identify local industries that are performing at higher levels of employment concentration than their state counterparts, thereby indicating that these industries have a more important role locally than regionally. Locally strong industries are more easily promoted and reinforced by economic development initiatives and help to identify the locality’s unique characteristics.

    Industries with large employment concentration and large LQ change  are generally of the most relevance. Year 2030 estimated employment by industry is shown as “bubbles”; the LQ change in the 2022-2030 period is the “X” axis; and the projected 2030 LQ is the “Y” axis. The X axis crosses the Y axis at the value of 1.0, thereby plotting the results for either success in exceeding Florida state parity or failing to meet this criterion. Each quadrant is labeled as follows:

    • Competitive – dominant industries in City
    • Emerging – emerging industries not yet achieving critical mass
    • At-Risk – formerly strong industries (legacy) that are losing power and influence
    • Declining – industries that may be in danger of non-sustainability in the City

    The location of the employment bubbles on the chart demonstrates the industries’ role for the local economy

    Major Secrors LQ Charts

    Overall, employment in Cape Coral is expected to rise by 4,234 jobs from the 2022 figure of 42,460 jobs. The new figure of 46,694 jobs by 2030 is compiled through state and national projections for Florida, Lee County and calculated for Cape Coral based on projections of the 2021 US Census Zip Code Business Patterns.

    The top five industry sectors account for 74% of new employment, and 77% of all new job gains. Construction employment represents the single largest employment category in the City of Cape Coral with a growth of 1,159 jobs forecasted by yr. 2030. Retail Trade and Tourism, & Leisure follow, with 416 and 593 new jobs expected, respectively. Professional & Business Services comes next, with 553 jobs forecasted. Finally, Education, Healthcare & Social Assistance rounds out the top five with 523 new jobs expected.

  • Four sectors are within the Competitive quadrant:
    • Construction
    • Manufacturing
    • Other Services
    • Retail Trade

    Three sectors are in the Emerging quadrant:
    • Mining & Utilities
    • Public Administration
    • Wholesale Trade

    One sector is in the At-Risk quadrant:
    • Tourism & Leisure

    Six sectors fall in the Declining quadrant:
    • Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting
    • Education, Healthcare & Social Assistance
    • Financial Activities
    • Information
    • Professional & Business Services
    • Transportation & Warehousing
Summary Scores Chart

Location Quotient Impact Factors (LQI)

Industries with large employment concentration and large LQ change produce the highest impacts and are of the most importance, both positively and negatively. The LQ Impact factor (LQI) could be imagined as a ball on a string being spun in a circle. A lighter ball on a long string could equal the similar amount of force as a heaver ball on a shorter string. However, the ideal condition would be produced by a heavy ball on a long string. When industries exhibit large LQI’s, they have significant economic effects which must be considered when selecting target industries. Often, a legacy industry that is exhibiting a downward trend is critical to the local economy and negative changes in Location Quotients indicate that the industry may be losing market share or have employment issues. For economic development agencies, the focus of often limited marketing, promotion, or incentive resources may be dependent on choosing between an obvious growth industry or a legacy industry in need of assistance. Relative positions and size of employment bubbles in the chart indicate the LQI’s.

Tier 1 targets are those whose LQI are above the median for all positive industries, or a 1.22 LQI. The remaining industries from 0 to 1.22 LQI are important to Cape Coral but will be withheld from this part of the analysis. Tier 2 industries are all in the negative column and fall below the median value of -2.29 LQI. These are sectors that represent underperformance that will need to be addressed as soon as possible to avoid further deterioration.

Tiers 1 and 2 Targets chart

    Summary of Preliminary Identified Target Industries

  • Retail Trade
    • Motor Vehicle & Parts Dealers (LQI:4.12, Competitive, Tier 1)
    • Food & Beverage Stores (LQI:5.04, Competitive, Tier 1)
    • Gasoline Stations (LQI:-7.27, At-Risk, Tier 2)
    • Clothing & Clothing Accessories Stores (LQI:1.51, Competitive, Tier 1)
    • Furniture, Home Furnishings, Electronics, and Appliance Retailers (LQI:3.63, Competitive, Tier 1)
    • Sporting Goods, Hobby, Musical Instrument, & Book Stores (LQI:27.85, Competitive, Tier 1)

    Financial Activities
    • Credit Intermediation and Related Activities (LQI:-5.66, Declining, Tier 2)
    • Securities, Commodity Contracts, and Other Financial Investments and Related Activities (LQI:1.35, Emerging, Tier 1)
    • Real Estate (LQI:-3.57, At-Risk, Tier 2)
    • Rental and Leasing Services (LQI:2.54, Competitive, Tier 1)

    Education, Healthcare & Social Assistance
    • Ambulatory Health Care Services (LQI:-3.6, Declining, Tier 2)
    • Hospitals (LQI:-4.48, Declining, Tier 2)
    • Social Assistance (LQI:5.03, Emerging, Tier 1)

    Manufacturing
    • Printing & Related Support Activities (LQI:8.36, Competitive, Tier 1)
    • Fabricated Metal Products Mfg. (LQI:2.74, Competitive, Tier 1)

    Information
    • Publishing Industries (except Internet) (LQI:1.28, Emerging, Tier 1)
    • Telecommunications (LQI:-5.55, At-Risk, Tier 2)

    Professional & Business Services
    • Professional, Scientific, & Technical Services (LQI:-13.29, Declining, Tier 2)
    • Administrative and Support Services (LQI:-15.17, Declining, Tier 2)

    Tourism & Leisure
    • Food Services & Drinking Places (LQI:-31.65, At-Risk, Tier 2)

    Other Services
    • Repair and Maintenance (LQI:4.87, Competitive, Tier 1)

    Construction
    • Specialty Trade Contractors (LQI:57.58, Competitive, Tier 1)

    Wholesale Trade
    • Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods (LQI:2.24, Emerging, Tier 1)

    Public Administration
    • Government (LQI:8.5, Emerging, Tier 1)
Summary Scores Chart


3.b Identification of Unmet Opportunities

What Industries are We Missing?

The 15 Tier 1 and the 9 Tier 2 preliminary targets developed in Task 3.a have been identified by use of the 3-digit NAICS hierarchy. Under each of these headings are many sub-sector industries that have 2022 employment data but without any forward-looking projections. In this task, the objective is to evaluate:

1. Whether they have a LQ of 1.0 (parity with Florida) or better.

2. What level of employment should be targeted to at least bring them to the 1.0 parity.

3. Whether missing industries should be considered for targeting for the City and at what targeted employment size.

In the following tables, we examine each 3-digit sector and their associated preliminary targets.

    • Industries highlighted in yellow have an 2022 of LQ above the 1.0 parity level do not require support. Recruitment and attraction of companies in this area should continue to be encouraged.
    • Industries in solid green have LQ's below 1.0 and require economic development efforts. Targeted employment levels are indicated to bring the LQ's to a minimum of 1.0.
    • Industries in solid orange have no reported employment and are considered "missing" even though there may be instances where the businesses seem to be present. To meet the 1.0 LQ threshold, we would like to see the establishment of the industry by the number of new jobs indicated.   
RETAIL TRADE
Retail Target Industries Chart

FINANCIAL ACTIVITIES
Financial Target Industries Chart

EDUCATION, HEALTHCARE & SOCIAL ASSISTANCE
Healthcare & Social Assistance Target Industries Chart

MANUFACTURING
Manufacturing Target Industries Chart

INFORMATION
Information Target Industries Chart

PROFESSIONAL & BUSINESS SERVICES
Professional & Business Services Target Industries Chart

TOURISM & LEISURE
Tourism & Leisure Target Industries Chart

OTHER SERVICES
Other Services Target Industries Chart

CONSTRUCTION
Construction Target Industries Chart

WHOLESALE TRADE
Wholsesale Trade Target Industries Chart

PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION
Public Administration Target Industries Chart

SUMMARY OF PRELIMINARY TARGET INDUSTRIES

From the preceding analysis, a total of 65 4-digit NAICS industries were identified as preliminary targets for Cape Coral in 11 major industry sectors. These industries represent the areas where the City should focus its marketing efforts as new opportunities for economic growth and expansion.

In total, these industries represent a potential employment gain of 13,640 new jobs, if even the LQ parity level of 1.0 is achieved for each category. Effective economic development applied in the attraction and recruitment of new companies in these areas should provide even greater employment results.

Summary Scores Chart

3.c Cluster Mapping

Clusters Identifcation

As defined by Harvard University, “a cluster is a regional concentration of related industries in a particular location. Clusters are a striking feature of economies, making regions uniquely competitive for jobs and private investment. They consist of companies, suppliers, and service providers, as well as government agencies and other institutions that provide specialized training and education, information, research, and technical support.

DCG Corplan has developed a “mapping” technique whereby the 302 national industries in 4-digit NAICS format can be distilled to 27 cluster categories (channels) created from a “best practices” review of multiple cluster analyses from other US communities and states, cluster mapping white papers for the US Dept. of Commerce, the US Cluster Mapping Project from Harvard University, and primary-related industry taxonomies from numerous commercial enterprises. Because of multiple applications of industires to cluster assignments, a total of 350 industry matches occur. 

US Clusters Chart

Utilizing the US Cluster Mapping methodology, Cape Coral’s 65 4-digit target industries have been matched to 20 of the 27 cluster categories. The following table summarizes the distribution of employment among the 20 cluster and the total potential employment gain of 13,929 jobs (note: some industry repeats occur which raises the job gain from 13,640 to 13,929).

Cape Coral Clusters Chart

Final Cluster Selections

To determine the final cluster selections, a reexamination of the clusters identified to date is required. The following “crosswalk” graphic Illustrates how rearrangement of the components leads to a logical selection of the final clusters:

Clusters Crosswalk Chart

For the final eight clusters, the 4-digit target industries are presented again in the table below, organized by cluster heading (note: no industry repeats occur in these groupings):

Cape Coral Final Target Industries Chart

As a means of determining a strategic approach toward target industry recruitment and attraction, the eight Cape Coral clusters are ranked by potential job gains as shown below. The four leading categories account for nearly 90% of all future employment growth and should become the focus of economic development initiatives going forward:

Cape Coral Cluster Rankings Chart

3.d Operational Analysis

CLUSTER MODELS

The operational models presented in the following section provide a roadmap for creating a marketing opportunity for the City of Cape Coral to prospective employers. In summary, the four leading cluster representative industries could generate nearly $84 million in new investment. The following table summarizes the data evaluated in the operational models:

Cape Coral Cluster Investment Chart

BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SERCVICES CLUSTER: BUSINESS-TO-BUSINESS CALL CENTER

This U.S. industry comprises establishments primarily engaged in operating call centers that initiate or receive communications via telephone, facsimile, email, or other communication modes for purposes such as: (1) promoting products or services, (2) taking orders, (3) soliciting contributions, and (4) providing information or assistance regarding products or services. Telemarketing bureaus and other contact centers provide these services on behalf of clients and do not own the products or provide the services that they are representing, or they serve other establishments of the same enterprise.

A nominal (averaged) facility size of 43 persons is selected as a Cape Coral model for this industry. Average productivity output is $113,000 per employee. Total investment per employee is estimated at $30,200, and with the projected gain of 359 new jobs in the industry in Cape Coral, this category could produce an investment of total of $10,841,960 for the City.

B2B Call Center Facility Data Chart

Employment distribution among the relevant major occupational groups for the industry are shown as follows:

B2B Call Center Employee Census Chart


Base financial information is as follows:

B2B Call Center Base Financial Data Chart

Profitability for B2B Call Centers in Cape Coral is 7.9%, ahead of all competition:

B2b Call Centers Profitability Chart

In summary, the positions that exhibit shortfall for B2B Call Centers are:

    • Telemarketers
    • Bill and Account Collectors
    • Mail Clerks and Mail Machine Operators, Except Postal Service

HEALTHCARE & LIFE SCIENCES CLUSTER: MEDICAL LABORATORY

This U.S. industry comprises establishments known as medical laboratories primarily engaged in providing analytic or diagnostic services, including body fluid analysis, generally to the medical profession or to the patient on referral from a health practitioner. The national average size for a typical facility is 11 persons, and the State of Florida’s is 12 persons.

A nominal facility size of 12 persons is selected as a Cape Coral model for this industry. Average productivity output is $238,000 per employee. Total investment per employee is estimated at $323,600, and with the projected gain of 92 new jobs in the industry in Cape Coral, this category could produce an investment of total of $26,689,000 for the City.

Medical Laboratories Facility Data Chart

Employment distribution among the relevant major occupational groups for the industry are shown as follows:

Medical Laboratories Employee Census Chart

Base financial information is as follows:

Medical Laboratories Base Financial Data Chart

Profitability for Medical Laboratories in Cape Coral is 6.6%, but with notable competition with Orlando and Port St. Lucie:

Medical Laboratories Profitability Chart

In summary, the positions that exhibit shortfall for Medical Laboratories are:

    • Medical Scientists, Except Epidemiologist
    • Phlebotomists

CONSUMER PRODUCTS & SERVICES CLUSTER: SPORTING & RECREATONAL GOODS & SUPPLIES MERCHANT WHOLESALER

This industry comprises establishments primarily engaged in the merchant wholesale distribution of sporting goods and accessories; billiard and pool supplies; sporting firearms and ammunition; and/or marine pleasure craft, equipment, and supplies. A nominal facility size of 7 persons is selected as a Cape Coral model for this industry. Average productivity output is $946,000 per employee. Total investment per employee is estimated at $167,200, and with the projected gain of 98 new jobs in the industry in Cape Coral, this category could produce an investment of total of $16,386,000 for the City.

Sporting & Recr'l Goods & Supplies Wholesaler Facility Data Chart

Employment distribution among the relevant major occupational groups for the industry are shown as follows:

Sporting & Recr'l Goods & Supplies Wholesaler Census Chart


Base financial information is as follows:

Sporting & Recr'l Goods & Supplies Wholesaler Base Financial Data Chart

Profitability for Sporting & Recr'l Goods & Supplies Wholesaler in Cape Coral is 11.7%, ahead of all competition except Orlando:

Sporting & Recr'l Goods & Supplies Wholesaler Profitability Chart

In summary, we do not foresee any positions that exhibit shortfall for Sporting and Recreational Goods and Supplies Merchant Wholesalers. For a potential Cape Coral location, we expect that wholesalers will not experience any significant labor shortages.

COMMUNITY SERVICES CLUSTER: VOCATONAL REHABILITATION SERVICES AGENCY

Since neither the US Census nor the Bureau of Labor Statistics publish employment data on public administration, building an operational model in this category is difficult. In Lee County, the State of Florida operates 50 leased office locations for 19 State Agencies. In total, this covers 312,851 sf of office space. Only 4 of the 19 agencies have a presence in Cape Coral, accommodating only 7,049 sf or 2% of the State’s footprint in the county , as shown in the table below:


State Agency Footrpint in Lee County Chart

Although a government operation, the metric for this industry comes from the private sector. The private non-profit Vocational Rehabilitation Services industry comprises (1) establishments primarily engaged in providing vocational rehabilitation or habilitation services, such as job counseling, job training, and work experience, to unemployed and underemployed persons, persons with disabilities, and persons who have a job market disadvantage because of lack of education, job skill, or experience and (2) establishments primarily engaged in providing training and employment to persons with disabilities. A nominal facility size of 20 persons is selected as a Cape Coral model for this industry. Average non-profit output is estimated at  $115,400 per employee. Total investment per employee is estimated at $30,700, and with the projected gain of 879 new jobs in the industry in Cape Coral, this category could produce an investment of total of $26,985,300 for the City.

Vocatioanal Rehabilitation Services Agency - Facility Data Chart

Employment distribution among the relevant major occupational groups for the industry are shown as follows:

Vocatioanal Rehabilitation Services Agency Census Chart


Base financial information is as follows:

Vocatioanal Rehabilitation Services Agency Financial Data Chart

Net Operating Surplus (or Shortfall) for a Vocational Rehabilitation Services Agency in Cape Coral is 3.9%, ahead of all competition except Port St. Lucie:

Vocatioanal Rehabilitation Services Agency Profitability Chart

In summary, the positions that exhibit shortfall for a large Vocational Rehabilitation Services Agency are:

    • Rehabilitation Counselors
    • Social and Human Service Assistants
    • Educational, Guidance, and Career Counselors and Advisors
    • Social and Community Service Managers
    • Community and Social Service Specialists, All Other

A smaller operation is a workable solution, but there may need to be some training and educational strategies needed to address these specialized jobs for a larger operation.

RETAIL REVIEW

To gauge the retail industry’s performance, the generation of a Gap/Leakage Analysis has been the traditional course of action. The surge of online shopping use, however, has made this methodology somewhat obsolete as internet retail has changed the marketplace. Alternatively, we will use 43 retail spending items derived from ESRI’s Retail Outlook distributed in the 8 groups as follows:

    • Apparel & Services
    • Computers
    • Entertainment & Recreation
    • Food
    • Health
    • Household Furnishings & Equipment
    • Household Operations
    • Travel

The initial use of this analysis was conducted in the Econographics Market Profiles developed in Task 2. Here, we will reexamine the retail spending patterns of Cape Coral as compared to the State of Florida, again using the Location Quotient (LQ) methodology. Key sectors are above the median for each category and also above 1.0 parity level.

REtail Categories Chart

For Cape Coral’s $1.957 billion total spending on retail in the 43 categories, the following 19 represent the key retail sectors where consumer spending is the highest (ranked by retail spending). Together they total $1.272 billion or 65% of the Cape Coral consumer spending pattern:

REtail Summary Chart

From the above list, it is apparent that Women’s’ Apparel (LQ=3.580) and Footwear (LQ=2.927) are dominant categories by virtue of their high LQ scores. Cross-marching these two segments against the Consumer Products & Services cluster reinforces the role of NAICS 4581 - Clothing and clothing accessories retailers and 4582 - Shoe retailers in the cluster assignment.

Please note that 6 other categories exhibited above median performance but where still below the 1.0 parity level for the State of Florda in the LQ methodology. These are areas of minor concern for Cape Coral but should be addressed:

    • Housekeeping Supplies
    • Furniture
    • Children's Apparel
    • Toys/Games/Crafts/Hobbies
    • School Books and Supplies
    • Housewares
ASSITANCE PROGRAMS REVIEW

In this section, we will introduce state and local assistance programs that may have a bearing on cluster development and prioritization. A more detailed review will occur in Task 5 – Incentives.

State of Florida

The state of Florida offers a number of assistance incentives for business. These include:
    • Capital Investment Tax Credit (CITC)
    • Research and Development Tax Credit
    • Quick Response Training (QRT)
    • Incumbent Worker Training (IWT)
    • Brownfield Redevelopment Bonus
    • High Impact Performance Incentive Grant (HIPI)
    • Community Contribution Tax Credit Program (CCTCP)
    • Research and Development Tax Credit Program
    • Rural and Urban Job Tax Credit Programs

Sales tax exemptions cover:

    • R&D Equipment (Predominant Use))
    • Semiconductor, Defense, and Space Technology Production Equipment
    • Manufacturing Machinery and Equipment and Subsequent Labor, Parts, and Materials Used to Repair Equipment
    • Electricity Used in the Manufacturing Process
    • Clean Energy
    • Aircraft Expenditures
    • Spacecraft Expenditures)

Southwest Florida Planning Council (SWFPC)

The Council does not provide direct financial assistance, but important studies such as the Cape Coral Climate Change or the Evacuation Study can have direct impacts on targeted industry clusters sustainability.The SWFPC is helpful in promoting the region through projects it initiates on key subjects. Among these are:
    • Resiliency & Climate Change Projects
    • Ecosystem Services Projects
    • Sustainable & Equitable Agricultural Projects
    • Covid Recovery & Resiliency

Lee County

    • Industrial Development Revenue Bonds (IDRBs): long-term, tax-exempt, low-rate financing of capital requirements for new and expanding manufacturing facilities in Lee County
    • Gold Key Grant Program: financial assistance to small businesses leveraging in the US Commercial Services Gold Key Matching service
    • Opportunity Zones: temporary, step-up, or permanent deferral of inclusion in taxable income for capital gains reinvested into an Opportunity Fund

City of Cape Coral

The City of Cape Coral has some interesting programs that we will explore in greater detail in Task 5. Recommendations to modify these to better address the target industry clusters will be made:

    • Breaking Barriers to Business (B2B) Program
    • Ad Valorem Tax Incentive Program
    • Business Infrastructure Grant
    • Cape Collaborates - Small Business Partner Program
    • Enhanced Property Value Recapture Grant

Incubators & Accelerators

The development of business incubators nationwide has proven to be benefit to startup companies, with about 87% survivability after five years as compared to 44% without such assistance.

Typically, a business incubator helps to develop and refine high-potential startup ideas. Incubators often operate locally and provide a host of resources—such as physical space to access as needed—over a span of one to five years. A recent addition to incubators are Accelerators -- short, intensive programs that provide education, resources, and mentorship for early- or mid-stage companies. Accelerators are normally more structured and feature specific tracks to turn startup into a scalable business. Some offer multiple programs targeted at different industries or venture stages.

Examples of successful Incubator and Accelerators in Florida include:

    • Culinary Accelerator @ Immokalee -- members may select from a range of customized hours and plans to prepare, cook and package their culinary creations for distribution
    • TEC Garage (Tampa Bay Innovation Center) -- home to independent workers including solo entrepreneurs, lawyers, investors, accountants, graphic designers, engineers, and other related occupations geared towards tech startups. The space is great for small companies, remote workers, startups and anyone who wants to share ideas, knowledge, space and equipment
    • Goldstein Business Accelerator (Orlando) -- provides access to $100,000 in seed funding, mentorship from a seasoned pool of knowledgeable experts and introductions to angel investors and venture capitalist firms
    • Miami Lab Ventures: a Venture-capital fund and startup studio dedicated to accelerating real estate and construction technology industries

Conclusions

It is possible that companies in the targeted industry clusters may need some degree of financial incentives to consider a Cape Coral location. These could be across industry programs or more tailored to individual companies. We examine the role of incentives more thoroughly in Task 5. Clearly, the development of incubators and accelerators will have a key role in successful cluster promotion. In the meantime, we are excited by the advantages that Florida offers to prospective employers. As displayed on multiple economic development websites, these advantages reinforce the following:

    • No Corporate Income Tax on limited partnerships
    • No State Personal Income Tax
    • No Corporate Franchise tax on Capital Stock
    • No State-Level Property Tax assessed
    • No Property Tax on Business Inventories
    • No Sales Tax on Manufacturing Machinery & Equipment
    • No Property Tax on Goods-in-Transit for up to 180 days
    • No Sales Tax on Purchases of Raw Materials Incorporated in a Final Product for Resale, including Non-Reusable Containers or Packaging
    • No Sales/Use Tax on Co-Generation of Electricity
    • No Sales and Use Tax on Goods Manufactured or Produced in Florida for Export Outside the State

The target industry clusters presented will next be evaluated for economic development administration, incentives, real estate and infrastructure requirements, and workforce education. To recap, the new Cape Coral target industries are:

    • BUSINESS & FINANCIAL SERVICES
    • COMMUNITY SERVICES
    • CONSUMER PRODUCTS & SERVICES
    • CULINARY TOURISM
    • HEALTHCARE & LIFE SCIENCES
    • INDUSTRIAL SERVICES
    • IT & MEDIA
    • SUSTAINABLE REAL ESTATE

The 13,640 forecasted total employment for the 8 targeted industry clusters will produce a total of 15,162 new jobs (direct, indirect, and induced) and an annual total economic impact of $3.358 billion, as shown in the table below:

Final Clusters economic impacts chart

3.e Task 3 Progress Report/video conference

We conducted a video conference with the Project Review Committee on January 24, 2024. Work product to date was discussed and the materials covered were previously uploaded to the website.